BLUE CHIP WEEKLY TREND REPORT
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2019
WEEKLY ACTIVITY AND CLOSING PRICES ON 12/27/19 FOR CORE MACRO MARKETS
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CORE MARKETS TECHNICAL COMMENTARY & TREND ANALYSIS
The S & P 500, Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 all made new all-time highs this past week. Emerging Markets closed at a 20-month high, and Europe had it’s second highest weekly close on record. These are all technically bullish price signals. In the shorter-term, many of these markets are at the higher end of their daily momentum ranges, and a pullback is always possible, but the longer-term trends are technically bullish here in these markets. I have moved my target cash allocation up to 10-15% from 0% recently and from -25% on 10/06/19. This is not a broad-based market call, but it is a risk adjustment and profit scaling move.
Gold broke out to an 18-week closing high, and is over the key $1500 level, a bullish signal. Gold Miners, GDX, was up 7.17% on the week, to a 20-week closing high. WTI Crude oil closed at a 32-week high, and also recently had a bullish 10/40 week moving average cross.
U.S. Treasuries and 10-year yields continue to be neutral for my time frame, while yields have a slight upward bias and bonds, TLT, have a slight downward bias. 2.00% is still the key overhead level, and 1.50% below.
My technical view on equity indices continues to be bullish with a focus on technology, healthcare, banks and brokers, metals and mining, energy services, and China.
Gold and miners have had bullish breakouts and are buyable here and on pullbacks. I am still neutral on bonds and interest rate sensitive industries. I am avoiding Utilities, REITs, staples and any momentum tech names in downtrends below the 200-day moving average.
SPX WEEKLY
EMERGING MARKETS WEEKLY (EEM)
GOLD MINERS WEEKLY (GDX)
US DOLLAR INDEX (USD) is weakening, at a 23-week closing low, and three consecutive closes below the 40-week moving average, the longest streak below the 40-week MA since April 2018.
THIS WEEK’S “BLUE CHIP TOP 50” RANKED LARGE CAP STOCKS
(listed by industry technical momentum rank and market cap)
QQQ | NASDAQ 100 |
AAPL | Apple |
MSFT | Microsoft |
GOOGL | |
AMZN | Amazon |
FB | |
XLV | HEALTHCARE |
JNJ | Johnson & Johnson |
UNH | United Healthcare |
MRK | Merck |
ABT | Abbot Labs |
BMY | Bristol-Myers |
AMGN | Amgen |
EEM | EMERGING MARKETS |
BABA | AliBaba |
TCEHY | Tencent |
JD | JD.com |
VGK | EUROPE |
NVS | Novartis |
ACN | Accenture |
AZN | AstraZeneca |
CS | Credit Suisse |
IGV | SOFTWARE |
ADBE | Adobe |
NOW | ServiceNow |
SHOP | Shopify |
PAYC | Paycom |
SMH | SEMICONDUCTORS |
INTC | Intel |
NVDA | Nvidia |
MU | Micron |
AMAT | Applied Materials |
AMD | Advanced Micro |
GDX | GOLD MINERS |
NEM | Newmont Goldcorp |
GOLD | Barrick Gold |
FNV | Franco-Nevada |
XLF | FINANCIALS |
JPM | JP Morgan Chase |
V | Visa |
BAC | Bank of America |
PYPL | Paypal |
GS | Goldman Sachs |
XLE | ENERGY |
COP | Conoco Phillips |
SLB | Schlumberger |
VLO | Valero |
HAL | Halliburton |
XME | METALS & MINING |
VALE | Vale do Rio |
FCX | Freeport-McMoRan |
MT | Arcelor Mittal |
XLY | CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY |
WMT | Wal-Mart |
DIS | Walt Disney |
HD | Home Depot |
NKE | Nike |
SBUX | Starbucks |
XLI | INDUSTRIALS |
UTX | United Technologies |
HON | Honeywell |
GE | General Electric |